{"id":4054,"date":"2021-03-16T10:41:11","date_gmt":"2021-03-16T02:41:11","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/140.137.32.20\/dbar\/?post_type=manual_kb&#038;p=4054"},"modified":"2024-07-29T21:42:41","modified_gmt":"2024-07-29T13:42:41","slug":"%e7%89%a9%e7%90%86%ef%bc%8d%e7%b6%93%e9%a9%97%e6%a8%a1%e5%bc%8f%e5%b0%8d%e8%87%ba%e7%81%a3%e6%a2%85%e9%9b%a8%e5%ad%a3%e9%99%8d%e9%9b%a8-%e5%b9%b4%e9%9a%9b%e8%ae%8a%e5%8c%96%e9%a0%90%e5%a0%b1%e7%9a%84","status":"publish","type":"doc_journal","link":"https:\/\/asrad.pccu.edu.tw\/dbar\/doc_journal\/%e7%89%a9%e7%90%86%ef%bc%8d%e7%b6%93%e9%a9%97%e6%a8%a1%e5%bc%8f%e5%b0%8d%e8%87%ba%e7%81%a3%e6%a2%85%e9%9b%a8%e5%ad%a3%e9%99%8d%e9%9b%a8-%e5%b9%b4%e9%9a%9b%e8%ae%8a%e5%8c%96%e9%a0%90%e5%a0%b1%e7%9a%84\/","title":{"rendered":"\u7269\u7406\uff0d\u7d93\u9a57\u6a21\u5f0f\u5c0d\u81fa\u7063\u6885\u96e8\u5b63\u964d\u96e8 \u5e74\u969b\u8b8a\u5316\u9810\u5831\u7684\u61c9\u7528\u8207\u6539\u5584"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>\u5f35\u96c5\u60e0 \u9673\u51a0\u6770 \u9ec3\u5a49\u5982*<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong> \u570b\u7acb\u81fa\u7063\u5e2b\u7bc4\u5927\u5b78\u5730\u7403\u79d1\u5b78\u7cfb <\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>\uff08\u4e2d\u83ef\u6c11\u570b\u4e00\u25cb\u516d\u5e74\u5341\u4e8c\u6708\u4e94\u65e5\u6536\u7a3f\uff1b\u4e2d\u83ef\u6c11\u570b\u4e00\u25cb\u4e03\u5e74\u4e09\u6708\u4e8c\u5341\u4e5d\u65e5\u5b9a\u7a3f\uff09 <\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>\u6458 \u8981<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u904e\u53bb\u7814\u7a76\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u5f71\u97ff\u81fa\u7063\u6885\u96e8\u5b63\uff085\uff5e6 \u6708\uff09\u964d\u96e8\u7684\u6a5f\u5236\u4e26\u975e\u55ae\u4e00\u3002Yim et al. (2015)\u4ee5\u591a\u500b\u53ef\u80fd\u5f71\u97ff \u81fa\u7063\u6885\u96e8\u5b63\u964d\u96e8\u7684\u6a5f\u5236\u70ba\u57fa\u790e\uff0c\u5229\u7528\u8207\u9019\u4e9b\u6a5f\u5236\u76f8\u95dc\u7684\u6d77\u8868\u9762\u6eab\u5ea6\u8b8a\u5316\u8da8\u52e2\u53ca\u5730\u9762\u6eab\u5ea6\u8b8a\u5316\u8da8\u52e2\u4f5c\u70ba\u9810 \u5831\u56e0\u5b50\uff0c\u5c0d 1979\uff5e2005 \u5e74\u671f\u9593\u5168\u7403\u964d\u6c34\u6c23\u5019\u5b78\u8a08\u756b\uff08Global Precipitation Climatology Project\uff1b\u7c21\u7a31 GPCP\uff09 \u89c0\u6e2c\u5230\u7684\u6885\u96e8\u5b63\u81fa\u7063\u964d\u96e8\uff08\u7c21\u7a31 GPCP-TWRI\uff09\u4e4b\u5e74\u969b\u8b8a\u5316\u73fe\u8c61\uff0c\u5efa\u7acb\u4e86\u591a\u7d44\u5177\u7269\u7406\u610f\u7fa9\u4e4b\u7d93\u9a57\u9810\u5831\u65b9 \u7a0b\u3002\u5728\u672c\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u4ee5 Yim et al. (2015)\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\u6240\u63d0\u51fa\u4e4b\u8868\u73fe\u6700\u597d\u7684\u9810\u5831\u65b9\u7a0b\uff08\u5373\u524d\u7f6e\u6642\u9593\u70ba 0-month lead \u8005\uff09\u70ba\u57fa\u790e\uff0c\u91dd\u5c0d\u4ee5\u4e0b\u8b70\u984c\u9032\u884c\u63a2\u8a0e\uff1a(1)\u662f\u5426\u53ef\u4ee5\u5728 Yim et al. (2015)\u7684\u57fa\u790e\u4e0a\uff0c\u5c0d 1979\uff5e2005 \u5e74 \u671f\u9593\u5730\u9762\u6e2c\u7ad9\u89c0\u6e2c\u5230\u7684\u81fa\u7063\u6885\u96e8\u5b63\u964d\u96e8\uff08\u7c21\u7a31 CWB-TWRI\uff09\u4e4b\u5e74\u969b\u8b8a\u5316\u73fe\u8c61\uff0c\u5efa\u7acb\u5177\u7269\u7406\u610f\u7fa9\u7684\u7d93\u9a57 \u9810\u5831\u65b9\u7a0b\uff1f(2)\u662f\u5426\u53ef\u4ee5\u900f\u904e\u9810\u5831\u56e0\u5b50\u7684\u8abf\u6574\uff0c\u627e\u51fa\u5c0d 2006\uff5e2015 \u5e74\u671f\u9593\u7684 CWB-TWRI \u4e4b\u5e74\u969b\u8b8a\u5316\u73fe \u8c61\uff0c\u66f4\u5177\u9810\u5831\u80fd\u529b\u7684\u9810\u5831\u65b9\u7a0b\uff1f(3)\u8207 CFSv2 (Climate Forecast System version 2)\u52d5\u529b\u6a21\u5f0f\u9810\u5831\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u8b70\u984c (2)\u4e2d\u6240\u627e\u51fa\u7684\u7d93\u9a57\u9810\u5831\u65b9\u7a0b\uff0c\u662f\u5426\u5c0d CWB-TWRI \u66f4\u5177\u9810\u5831\u80fd\u529b\uff1f\u91dd\u5c0d\u4e0a\u8ff0\u8b70\u984c\uff0c\u672c\u7814\u7a76\u767c\u73fe\u53ef\u4ee5\u5728 Yim et al. (2015)\u7684\u57fa\u790e\u4e0a\uff0c\u5c0d 1979\uff5e2005 \u5e74\u671f\u9593\u6885\u96e8\u5b63\u300cCWB-TWRI \u5e74\u969b\u8b8a\u5316\u300d\u73fe\u8c61\uff0c\u5efa\u7acb\u5177\u7269\u7406\u610f\u7fa9\u7684 \u7d93\u9a57\u9810\u5831\u65b9\u7a0b\uff1b\u4f46\u82e5\u4ee5\u6b64\u9810\u5831\u65b9\u7a0b\u5c0d 2006\uff5e2015 \u5e74\u671f\u9593\u4e4b CWB-TWRI \u9032\u884c\u9810\u5831\uff0c\u5176\u9810\u5831\u80fd\u529b\u8868\u73fe\u4e0d \u4f73\u3002\u5728\u9810\u5831\u65b9\u7a0b\u7684\u6539\u5584\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u767c\u73fe\u82e5\u4f9d\u6d77\u6eab\u8b8a\u5316\u8da8\u52e2\u7279\u5fb5\uff0c\u5c07\u9810\u5831\u56e0\u5b50\u4e2d\u7684\u300c\u5317\u5927\u897f\u6d0b\u6d77\u6eab\u8b8a\u5316\u8da8 \u52e2\u4e4b\u9078\u53d6\u5340\u57df\u300d\u9032\u884c\u8abf\u6574\u5f8c\uff0c\u6240\u5efa\u7acb\u7684\u9810\u5831\u65b9\u7a0b\u5c0d\u300cCWB-TWRI \u5e74\u969b\u8b8a\u5316\u300d\u7684\u9810\u5831\u80fd\u529b\u53ef\u6709\u6548\u63d0\u9ad8\u3002\u800c \u5728\u8207 CFSv2 \u6a21\u5f0f\u9810\u5831\u80fd\u529b\u7684\u6bd4\u5c0d\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u672c\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u5efa\u7acb\u4e4b\u7269\u7406\uff0d\u7d93\u9a57\u65b9\u7a0b\u8f03 CFSv2 \u5c0d\u300cCWB-TWRI \u5e74\u969b \u8b8a\u5316\u300d\u66f4\u5177\u9810\u5831\u80fd\u529b\u3002\u9019\u4e9b\u7814\u7a76\u6210\u679c\uff0c\u6709\u5229\u65bc\u77ad\u89e3\u7269\u7406\uff0d\u7d93\u9a57\u6a21\u5f0f\u5c0d\u6885\u96e8\u5b63\u300cCWB-TWRI \u5e74\u969b\u8b8a\u5316\u300d\u9810 \u5831\u7684\u53ef\u61c9\u7528\u6027\u53ca\u6539\u5584\u65b9\u6cd5\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u95dc\u9375\u5b57:\u6885\u96e8\u5b63\u3001\u964d\u96e8\u5e74\u969b\u8b8a\u5316\u3001\u9810\u5831<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":0,"menu_order":3,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jet_sm_ready_style":"","_jet_sm_style":"","_jet_sm_controls_values":"","_jet_sm_fonts_collection":"","_jet_sm_fonts_links":"","footnotes":""},"keyword":[1998,2142,2143],"doc_categories":[1540,1535],"class_list":["post-4054","doc_journal","type-doc_journal","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","keyword-1998","keyword-2142","keyword-2143","doc_categories-jas-2016-2025","doc_categories-jas"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/asrad.pccu.edu.tw\/dbar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/doc_journal\/4054","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/asrad.pccu.edu.tw\/dbar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/doc_journal"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/asrad.pccu.edu.tw\/dbar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/doc_journal"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/asrad.pccu.edu.tw\/dbar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/asrad.pccu.edu.tw\/dbar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4054"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/asrad.pccu.edu.tw\/dbar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/doc_journal\/4054\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/asrad.pccu.edu.tw\/dbar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4054"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"keyword","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/asrad.pccu.edu.tw\/dbar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/keyword?post=4054"},{"taxonomy":"doc_categories","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/asrad.pccu.edu.tw\/dbar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/doc_categories?post=4054"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}