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class=\"has-text-align-center\"><strong>\u5433\u975c\u8ed2<sup> 1<\/sup> \u9418\u73ee\u7444 <sup>2<\/sup> \u968b\u4e2d\u8208 <sup>1<\/sup> <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><strong><sup>1<\/sup>\u570b\u7acb\u81fa\u7063\u5927\u5b78\u5927\u6c23\u79d1\u5b78\u7cfb<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><strong> <sup>2<\/sup>\u81fa\u5317\u5e02\u7acb\u5927\u5b78\u6b77\u53f2\u8207\u5730\u7406\u5b78\u7cfb <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><strong>\uff08\u4e2d\u83ef\u6c11\u570b\u4e00\u25cb\u56db\u5e74\u5341\u6708\u4e8c\u5341\u516b\u65e5\u6536\u7a3f\uff1b\u4e2d\u83ef\u6c11\u570b\u4e00\u25cb\u4e94\u5e74\u4e09\u6708\u4e00\u65e5\u5b9a\u7a3f)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><strong>\u6458 \u8981 <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u672c\u7814\u7a76\u5206\u6790\u897f\u5317\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b(Western north Pacific, WNP)2000 \u5e74\u81f3 2009 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GPI)\u8207\u5408\u6210\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u63a2\u8a0e\u7576\u4e2d\u76f8\u95dc\u7684\u6a5f\u5236\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6696\u5e74\u3001\u6b63\u5e38\u5e74\u8207\u51b7\u5e74\u7684\u6bcf\u767e\u5929\u751f\u6210\u6a5f\u7387\u5206\u5225\u70ba 40%\u300133%\u300130%\uff0c\u6a5f\u7387\u5dee\u7570\u4e3b\u8981\u4f86\u81ea TCn \u6578\u91cf\u5728\u6696 \u5e74\u8f03\u5c11\u3001\u51b7\u5e74\u8f03\u591a\u3002GPI \u5206\u6790\u986f\u793a WNP \u5b63\u98a8\u69fd\u5728\u6696\u5e74\uff08\u51b7\u5e74\uff09\u53d7\u897f\u98a8\u8ddd\u5e73\uff08\u6771\u98a8\u8ddd\u5e73\uff09\u800c\u589e\u5f37\u6771\u4f38\uff08\u6e1b \u5f31\u897f\u9000\uff09\u70ba\u6700\u5927\u7684\u8b8a\u5316\uff1b\u64fe\u52d5\u4e2d\u5fc3\u5408\u6210\u5206\u6790\uff0cTCd \u7d44\u6bd4 TCn \u7d44\u6709\u66f4\u597d\u7684\u767c\u5c55\u689d\u4ef6\uff0c\u4f46\u51b7\u5e74\u7684 TCd \u6709\u6700 \u9ad8\u7684 GPI \u503c\uff08\u4f86\u81ea\u6700\u9ad8\u5e73\u5747\u76f8\u5c0d\u6e26\u5ea6\u8207\u5e73\u5747\u7def\u5ea6\uff09\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u51fa\u51b7\u5e74\u6642 WNP \u4f4e\u7def\u5ea6\u6d0b\u9762\u80cc\u666f\u6e26\u5ea6\u8f03\u4f4e\u3001\u64fe \u52d5\u767c\u5c55\u8981\u8f03\u9ad8\u81ea\u8eab\u5f37\u5ea6\u53ca\u8f03\u9ad8\u884c\u661f\u6e26\u5ea6\u5e6b\u52a9\u7684\u7279\u5fb5\u3002MJO \u5c0d\u6d41\u6d3b\u8e8d\u671f\u6bd4\u5c0d\u6d41\u4e0d\u6d3b\u8e8d\u671f\u6709\u5229\u65bc\u98b1\u98a8\u751f\u6210 \uff08PTCG \u70ba 41%\u6bd4 30%\uff09\uff0c\u4f46\u7e3d\u64fe\u52d5\u6578\u8fd1\u4f3c\u76f8\u7b49\uff08\u6bcf\u767e\u5929 32 \u8207 31 \u500b\uff09\uff1b\u5927\u5c3a\u5ea6 850hPa \u76f8\u5c0d\u6e26\u5ea6\u8207 700hPa \u76f8\u5c0d\u6ebc\u5ea6\u8ddd\u5e73\u5728 MJO \u4e2d\u5448\u73fe\u5357\u5317\u5c0d\u6bd4\uff0c\u64fe\u52d5\u4e2d\u5fc3\u5408\u6210\u7d50\u679c\u8207\u5e74\u969b\u8b8a\u5316\u7684\u64fe\u52d5\u4e2d\u5fc3\u5408\u6210\u7d50\u679c\u76f8\u4f3c\u3002\u7d50\u5408 \u5e74\u969b\u8b8a\u5316\u8207 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