{"id":31074,"date":"2023-01-05T22:42:22","date_gmt":"2023-01-05T14:42:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/asrad.pccu.edu.tw\/dbar\/?post_type=manual_documentation&p=31074"},"modified":"2024-07-29T21:52:02","modified_gmt":"2024-07-29T13:52:02","slug":"%e7%b5%90%e5%90%88%e6%95%b8%e5%80%bc%e5%a4%a9%e6%b0%a3%e9%a0%90%e5%a0%b1%e6%a8%a1%e5%bc%8f%e5%8f%8a%e8%a1%9b%e6%98%9f%e5%be%ae%e6%b3%a2%e8%b3%87%e6%96%99%e4%bc%b0%e7%ae%97%e6%b5%b7%e4%b8%8a%e9%a2%b1","status":"publish","type":"doc_journal","link":"https:\/\/asrad.pccu.edu.tw\/dbar\/doc_journal\/%e7%b5%90%e5%90%88%e6%95%b8%e5%80%bc%e5%a4%a9%e6%b0%a3%e9%a0%90%e5%a0%b1%e6%a8%a1%e5%bc%8f%e5%8f%8a%e8%a1%9b%e6%98%9f%e5%be%ae%e6%b3%a2%e8%b3%87%e6%96%99%e4%bc%b0%e7%ae%97%e6%b5%b7%e4%b8%8a%e9%a2%b1\/","title":{"rendered":"\u7d50\u5408\u6578\u503c\u5929\u6c23\u9810\u5831\u6a21\u5f0f\u53ca\u885b\u661f\u5fae\u6ce2\u8cc7\u6599\u4f30\u7b97\u6d77\u4e0a\u98b1\u98a8\u964d\u96e8"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u8449\u5357\u6176 1<\/sup> \u6c6a\u5efa\u826f 2<\/sup> \u9673\u842c\u91d1 3<\/sup> \u80e1\u4ec1\u57fa 4 <\/sup>\u6797\u6c38\u6176 5<\/sup><\/p>\n\n\n\n

1<\/sup>\u570b\u9632\u5927\u5b78\u7406\u5de5\u5b78\u9662\u570b\u9632\u79d1\u5b78\u7814\u7a76\u6240
2<\/sup>\u570b\u9632\u5927\u5b78\u7406\u5de5\u5b78\u9662\u74b0\u5883\u8cc7\u8a0a\u53ca\u5de5\u7a0b\u5b78\u7cfb
3<\/sup>\u5927\u83ef\u6280\u8853\u5b78\u9662\u96fb\u5b50\u5de5\u7a0b\u7cfb
4<\/sup>\u570b\u9632\u90e8\u570b\u8ecd\u6c23\u8c61\u4e2d\u5fc3
5<\/sup>\u7a7a\u8ecd\u6c23\u8c61\u806f\u968a\u7b2c\u516d\u5929\u6c23\u4e2d\u5fc3<\/p>\n\n\n\n

(\u4e2d\u83ef\u6c11\u570b\u4e00\u767e\u5e74\u4e94\u6708\u4e8c\u5341\u65e5\u6536\u7a3f;\u4e2d\u83ef\u6c11\u570b\u4e00\u767e\u5e74\u4e5d\u6708\u4e8c\u65e5\u5b9a\u7a3f)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u6458 \u8981<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u3000\u3000\u672c\u7814\u7a76\u5229\u7528\u8c9d\u6c0f\u65b9\u6cd5\u53cd\u6f14\u6d77\u4e0a\u98b1\u98a8\u964d\u96e8\u7387,\u9996\u5148\u7531\u5148\u9a57\u6a5f\u7387\u5206\u5e03(prior probability distribution) \u03c0(R)\u8207\u689d\u4ef6\u6a5f\u7387\u5206\u5e03(condition probability distribution) f(P|R)\u7372\u5f97\u5f8c\u9a57\u964d\u96e8\u6a5f\u7387\u5206\u5e03(posterior probability distribution) \u03c0(R|P),\u6700\u5f8c\u85c9\u7531\u885b\u661f\u5fae\u6ce2\u89c0\u6e2c\u503c\u4f30\u7b97\u6d77\u4e0a\u98b1\u98a8\u964d\u96e8\u3002\u5176\u4e2d\u689d\u4ef6\u6a5f\u7387\u5206\u5e03\u5206\u5225\u85c9\u7531\u96f2\u6a21\u5f0f\u8207\u8f3b\u5c04\u50b3\u9001\u6a21\u5f0f(radiative transfer model,RTM)\u6c42\u5f97,\u800c\u5148\u9a57\u6a5f\u7387\u5206\u5e03\u5247\u7531 PR (Precipitation Radar)\u6a19\u6e96\u964d\u96e8\u7522\u54c1\u7684\u8fd1\u5730\u9762\u964d\u96e8\u5f37\u5ea6\u7372\u5f97\u3002
\u3000\u3000\u672c\u7814\u7a76\u4f7f\u7528\u7684 RTM \u6240\u9700\u5404\u7a2e\u7269\u7406\u53c3\u6578\u7684\u8f38\u5165\u662f\u7531\u5929\u6c23\u7814\u7a76\u9810\u5831\u6a21\u5f0f(The Weather Research and Forecasting, WRF)\u6a21\u5f0f\u6240\u63d0\u4f9b\u3002\u53e6\u5916,\u6211\u5011\u5229\u7528 RTM \u6a21\u64ec\u4eae\u5ea6\u6eab\u5ea6(brightness temperature,Tb)\u53ca\u5728\u964d\u96e8\u8207\u6674\u7a7a\u4e0b\u7684\u5fae\u6ce2\u983b\u9053\u6975\u5316\u5dee\u8cc7\u8a0a\u8f49\u63db\u70ba\u524a\u5f31\u6307\u6578 P,\u9019\u6307\u6578\u5177\u6709\u96a8\u8457\u964d\u96e8\u5f37\u5ea6\u589e\u52a0\u800c\u905e\u6e1b,\u4e14\u4e0d\u6613\u53d7\u964d\u96e8\u98fd\u548c\u5f71\u97ff\u7684\u512a\u9ede\u3002\u6700\u5f8c,\u5229\u7528 TRMM\/TMI \u6240\u89c0\u6e2c Tb \u4f86\u8a08\u7b97\u524a\u5f31\u6307\u6578,\u9032\u800c\u5229\u7528\u6b64\u524a\u5f31\u6307\u6578\u4f86\u4f30\u7b97\u6d77\u4e0a RR\u3002
\u3000\u3000\u672c\u7814\u7a76\u4f7f\u7528\u8c9d\u6c0f\u65b9\u6cd5\u662f\u4f30\u7b97\u51fa\u964d\u96e8\u5f37\u5ea6\u7684\u6a5f\u7387\u5206\u5e03,\u518d\u5229\u7528\u5e73\u5747\u4f30\u7b97\u5f0f\u5c07\u6b64\u6a5f\u7387\u5206\u5e03\u8f49\u63db\u70ba\u55ae\u4e00RR,\u518d\u4ee5 PR \u6240\u6c42\u5f97\u4e4b RR \u505a\u9a57\u8b49,\u7d50\u679c\u986f\u793a\u5169\u8005\u76f8\u95dc\u4fc2\u6578\u5728\u5c0d\u6d41\u6027\u964d\u96e8\u70ba 0.68,\u5c64\u72c0\u6027\u964d\u96e8\u70ba 0.75\u3002\u6b64\u7d50\u679c\u986f\u793a\u7d50\u5408\u6578\u503c\u5929\u6c23\u9810\u5831\u6a21\u5f0f\u53ca\u885b\u661f\u5fae\u6ce2\u8cc7\u6599\u53ef\u6709\u6548\u4f30\u7b97\u6d77\u4e0a\u98b1\u98a8\u964d\u96e8\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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