{"id":20283,"date":"2021-12-19T19:30:51","date_gmt":"2021-12-19T11:30:51","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/140.137.32.20\/dbar\/?post_type=manual_documentation&#038;p=20283"},"modified":"2024-07-29T21:47:00","modified_gmt":"2024-07-29T13:47:00","slug":"%e9%a2%b1%e9%a2%a8%e7%a7%bb%e5%8b%95%e8%b7%af%e5%be%91%e5%8f%8a%e5%bc%ba%e5%ba%a6%e4%b9%8b%e5%ae%a2%e8%a7%80%e9%a0%90%e5%a0%b1","status":"publish","type":"doc_journal","link":"https:\/\/asrad.pccu.edu.tw\/dbar\/doc_journal\/%e9%a2%b1%e9%a2%a8%e7%a7%bb%e5%8b%95%e8%b7%af%e5%be%91%e5%8f%8a%e5%bc%ba%e5%ba%a6%e4%b9%8b%e5%ae%a2%e8%a7%80%e9%a0%90%e5%a0%b1\/","title":{"rendered":"\u98b1\u98a8\u79fb\u52d5\u8def\u5f91\u53ca\u5f3a\u5ea6\u4e4b\u5ba2\u89c0\u9810\u5831"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-paragraph\">\u9673\u6bd3\u96f7 \u9b91\u5b78\u79ae<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-paragraph\">Prediction of Typhoon Movement and Intensity by Statistical Methods Yulei Chen S.L. Baw<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-paragraph\">Abstract<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u3000\u3000The screening multiple regression technique is applied to the prediction of typhoon movement and intensity. There are 169 predictors to be selected from. As a result, 9 equations arc derived through the analysis of a dependent sample of 545 observations. The Predictands are northward, westward displacements and the minimum pressure of the typhoon center, each in 3 different forecasting periods, namely 24, 36, and 48 hours. All predictors and predictands information are obtained on the basis of a moving coor-dinats system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u3000\u3000When tested on independent date of 60 cases, the forecasting equations yield an average err which compare favorably with any other single method in existence except NHC-67 of NHRL. However, the intensity equations turn out to be a failure like the similar experiments made before. The above facts indicate that there is still room for improvement of typhoon prediction in this area.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jet_sm_ready_style":"","_jet_sm_style":"","_jet_sm_controls_values":"","_jet_sm_fonts_collection":"","_jet_sm_fonts_links":"","footnotes":""},"keyword":[],"doc_categories":[1550,1547],"hf_cat_doc_journal":[1558],"class_list":["post-20283","doc_journal","type-doc_journal","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","doc_categories-qjm-1971-1980","doc_categories-qjm"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/asrad.pccu.edu.tw\/dbar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/doc_journal\/20283","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/asrad.pccu.edu.tw\/dbar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/doc_journal"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/asrad.pccu.edu.tw\/dbar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/doc_journal"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/asrad.pccu.edu.tw\/dbar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/asrad.pccu.edu.tw\/dbar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=20283"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/asrad.pccu.edu.tw\/dbar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/doc_journal\/20283\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/asrad.pccu.edu.tw\/dbar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=20283"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"keyword","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/asrad.pccu.edu.tw\/dbar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/keyword?post=20283"},{"taxonomy":"doc_categories","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/asrad.pccu.edu.tw\/dbar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/doc_categories?post=20283"},{"taxonomy":"hf_cat_doc_journal","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/asrad.pccu.edu.tw\/dbar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/hf_cat_doc_journal?post=20283"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}